Table 2 Decomposition analysis on changes in breast cancer incident cases in Iran and its 31 provinces, for both sexes, females, and males, between 1990 and 2019 (provinces have been sorted alphabetically)
Location | Sex | New cases | Expected new cases in 2019 | % 1990—2019 new cases change cause | % 1990—2019 new cases overall change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1990 | 2019 | Population growth | Population growth + Aging | Population growth | Age structure change | Incidence rate change | ||||
Iran (Islamic Republic of) | Both | 2871 | 14,863 | 4135 | 7952 | 44% | 133% | 240.7% | 417.6% | |
Female | 2835 | 14,743 | 4110 | 8050 | 44.9% | 139% | 236% | 420% | ||
Male | 36 | 120 | 51 | 93 | 43.1% | 117.3% | 73.8% | 234.2% | ||
Subnational | Alborz | Both | 90 | 644 | 177 | 384 | 95.4% | 229.8% | 287.3% | 612.5% |
Female | 89 | 637 | 177 | 398 | 99% | 247.5% | 268.1% | 614.6% | ||
Male | 1 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 92% | 218.5% | 157.2% | 467.7% | ||
Ardebil | Both | 48 | 189 | 53 | 111 | 10.9% | 120.9% | 162.6% | 294.4% | |
Female | 47 | 187 | 52 | 115 | 10.9% | 131.3% | 153.9% | 296% | ||
Male | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10.8% | 94.9% | 51.7% | 157.5% | ||
Bushehr | Both | 31 | 196 | 52 | 99 | 71.4% | 154% | 317.2% | 542.7% | |
Female | 30 | 195 | 50 | 96 | 64.7% | 152.6% | 327.4% | 544.8% | ||
Male | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78% | 123.3% | 106.8% | 308% | ||
Chahar Mahaal and Bakhtiari | Both | 27 | 116 | 37 | 77 | 35.3% | 143.3% | 143% | 321.6% | |
Female | 27 | 115 | 37 | 79 | 36% | 153.7% | 133.5% | 323.2% | ||
Male | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34.8% | 109.1% | 38% | 181.8% | ||
East Azarbayejan | Both | 159 | 798 | 188 | 365 | 18.2% | 110.4% | 272% | 400.6% | |
Female | 157 | 791 | 186 | 369 | 18.1% | 116.2% | 268.1% | 402.5% | ||
Male | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18.2% | 97.8% | 138.9% | 254.9% | ||
Fars | Both | 158 | 1002 | 215 | 440 | 35.9% | 142.4% | 355.3% | 533.6% | |
Female | 156 | 994 | 213 | 443 | 36.5% | 146.8% | 353.1% | 536.4% | ||
Male | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 35.4% | 124.7% | 148.1% | 308.2% | ||
Gilan | Both | 137 | 646 | 153 | 315 | 11.6% | 118.9% | 241.9% | 372.4% | |
Female | 135 | 640 | 151 | 311 | 11.7% | 119.2% | 244.1% | 375% | ||
Male | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 11.4% | 122.4% | 68.6% | 202.5% | ||
Golestan | Both | 48 | 308 | 69 | 134 | 43.9% | 136.1% | 362.3% | 542.3% | |
Female | 47 | 306 | 68 | 137 | 44.3% | 145.4% | 355.8% | 545.5% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 43.5% | 109.4% | 117.6% | 270.6% | ||
Hamadan | Both | 78 | 284 | 80 | 161 | 3.4% | 104.5% | 158.3% | 266.3% | |
Female | 77 | 283 | 81 | 164 | 5.1% | 107.9% | 154.6% | 267.7% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.8% | 92.4% | 36.5% | 130.8% | ||
| Â | Hormozgan | Both | 27 | 196 | 55 | 90 | 105% | 131.4% | 398.8% | 635.2% |
Female | 26 | 193 | 53 | 91 | 105.1% | 147.6% | 396.3% | 649% | ||
Male | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 104.9% | 78% | 28.1% | 210.9% | ||
Ilam | Both | 12 | 94 | 16 | 37 | 32% | 170% | 472.3% | 674.3% | |
Female | 12 | 93 | 16 | 40 | 33.7% | 199.2% | 448% | 680.8% | ||
Male | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30.4% | 119.7% | 173.7% | 323.8% | ||
Isfahan | Both | 193 | 1069 | 264 | 536 | 37.1% | 140.7% | 276.7% | 454.4% | |
Female | 191 | 1059 | 266 | 535 | 39.7% | 140.9% | 275.2% | 455.9% | ||
Male | 2 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34.6% | 137.5% | 158.9% | 331% | ||
Kerman | Both | 72 | 407 | 128 | 225 | 78.3% | 135.5% | 254.5% | 468.2% | |
Female | 71 | 404 | 124 | 224 | 76% | 140.5% | 254.7% | 471.2% | ||
Male | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 80.5% | 103.6% | 76.4% | 260.6% | ||
Kermanshah | Both | 66 | 330 | 77 | 161 | 16.3% | 129.2% | 255.8% | 401.4% | |
Female | 65 | 327 | 77 | 171 | 18.7% | 144.7% | 241.3% | 404.7% | ||
Male | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14.1% | 106% | 63.4% | 183.5% | ||
Khorasan-e-Razavi | Both | 190 | 988 | 269 | 478 | 41.4% | 109.8% | 267.7% | 418.9% | |
Female | 188 | 982 | 267 | 488 | 41.7% | 117.4% | 262.4% | 421.5% | ||
Male | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 41.1% | 85.2% | 61.2% | 187.5% | ||
Khuzestan | Both | 120 | 791 | 183 | 355 | 52.2% | 143.4% | 362.5% | 558.1% | |
Female | 118 | 786 | 181 | 356 | 53.2% | 147.4% | 363% | 563.6% | ||
Male | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 51.3% | 121.2% | 27.1% | 199.6% | ||
Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad | Both | 10 | 78 | 15 | 31 | 51.9% | 159.6% | 457.1% | 668.6% | |
Female | 10 | 77 | 15 | 31 | 51.9% | 171.9% | 464.6% | 688.4% | ||
Male | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52% | 118.9% | 16.7% | 187.7% | ||
Kurdistan | Both | 48 | 230 | 64 | 125 | 33.8% | 127.4% | 221.8% | 383.1% | |
Female | 47 | 228 | 63 | 130 | 34.2% | 141.6% | 210.2% | 386% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 33.5% | 100.1% | 39.9% | 173.4% | ||
Lorestan | Both | 53 | 239 | 60 | 128 | 14.3% | 127.7% | 212.1% | 354.1% | |
Female | 52 | 237 | 60 | 135 | 15.5% | 145.2% | 197.5% | 358.2% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13.2% | 97.1% | 27.9% | 138.1% | ||
Markazi | Both | 62 | 255 | 74 | 146 | 19.2% | 117.7% | 176.2% | 313.1% | |
Female | 61 | 253 | 72 | 143 | 18.5% | 116% | 180.1% | 314.6% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19.9% | 105.1% | 64% | 188.9% | ||
Mazandaran | Both | 146 | 881 | 192 | 410 | 31.5% | 150.1% | 322.7% | 504.3% | |
Female | 144 | 875 | 189 | 409 | 31.3% | 152.5% | 323% | 506.8% | ||
Male | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 31.6% | 147.3% | 85.3% | 264.2% | ||
North Khorasan | Both | 23 | 115 | 31 | 56 | 37.5% | 109% | 260.8% | 407.3% | |
Female | 22 | 114 | 30 | 57 | 37.6% | 118.8% | 258.2% | 414.6% | ||
Male | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37.3% | 89.6% | -0.4% | 126.6% | ||
Qazvin | Both | 34 | 221 | 48 | 98 | 39.9% | 143.6% | 358.2% | 541.6% | |
Female | 34 | 220 | 48 | 97 | 40.4% | 145.3% | 361.5% | 547.2% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 39.3% | 113.4% | 57.8% | 210.5% | ||
Qom | Both | 36 | 240 | 67 | 128 | 84.1% | 168.7% | 307.8% | 560.5% | |
Female | 36 | 238 | 66 | 126 | 85.8% | 169.8% | 313.4% | 569% | ||
Male | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 82.4% | 150.5% | -14.6% | 218.3% | ||
Semnan | Both | 28 | 148 | 43 | 72 | 54.9% | 106.9% | 272.1% | 433.9% | |
Female | 27 | 145 | 43 | 71 | 57.1% | 103.1% | 275.8% | 436% | ||
Male | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 52.9% | 88.5% | 186.4% | 327.8% | ||
Sistan and Baluchistan | Both | 35 | 183 | 71 | 94 | 101.9% | 65.7% | 250.9% | 418.5% | |
Female | 35 | 181 | 70 | 101 | 102% | 92% | 230.7% | 424.7% | ||
Male | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 101.9% | 27% | -15.3% | 113.6% | ||
South Khorasan | Both | 32 | 121 | 39 | 62 | 24.2% | 73.3% | 185.4% | 282.9% | |
Female | 31 | 120 | 38 | 65 | 24.1% | 85.2% | 177% | 286.3% | ||
Male | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24.4% | 52.7% | 3% | 80.1% | ||
Tehran | Both | 750 | 3206 | 1228 | 2351 | 63.8% | 149.8% | 114.1% | 327.7% | |
Female | 743 | 3185 | 1243 | 2396 | 67.3% | 155.1% | 106.3% | 328.7% | ||
Male | 7 | 21 | 11 | 21 | 60.5% | 159.8% | -8.1% | 212.2% | ||
West Azarbayejan | Both | 96 | 514 | 140 | 262 | 46.6% | 126.4% | 263.2% | 436.3% | |
Female | 95 | 511 | 139 | 268 | 46.8% | 135.9% | 255.9% | 438.5% | ||
Male | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 46.5% | 100.7% | 60.4% | 207.6% | ||
Yazd | Both | 38 | 234 | 65 | 112 | 69.2% | 121.2% | 319.7% | 510.1% | |
Female | 38 | 230 | 64 | 106 | 70.3% | 112.6% | 328.9% | 511.8% | ||
Male | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 68.1% | 107.5% | 254.2% | 429.8% | ||
Zanjan | Both | 25 | 138 | 31 | 63 | 21.6% | 126% | 294.6% | 442.1% | |
Female | 25 | 137 | 31 | 64 | 22.1% | 131.2% | 291.7% | 445% | ||
Male | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21% | 95.5% | 111.8% | 228.3% | ||