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Table 5 Age- and residence-adjusted RR (95% CI) by quantiles of predicted risk in the test subcohort of China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) and Shanghai Women’s Health Study (SWHS)

From: Development and external validation of a breast cancer absolute risk prediction model in Chinese population

 

Overall

Urban

Rural

Age < 50 years

Age ≥ 50 years

Cases

RR (95% CI)

Cases

RR (95% CI)

Cases

RR (95% CI)

Cases

RR (95% CI)

Cases

RR (95% CI)

Test subcohort of CKB (n = 100,274)

 1a

46

1.00 (reference)

16

1.00 (reference)

30

1.00 (reference)

18

1.00 (reference)

28

1.00 (reference)

 2

96

2.23 (1.53 to 3.24)

38

2.07 (1.15 to 3.76)

58

2.03 (1.21 to 3.39)

46

1.32 (0.76 to 2.32)

50

2.76 (1.64 to 4.64)

 3

105

2.60 (1.77 to 3.82)

52

2.44 (1.34 to 4.44)

53

2.11 (1.22 to 3.65)

52

1.30 (0.72 to 2.32)

53

3.38 (1.97 to 5.82)

 4

172

4.15 (2.84 to 6.08)

104

3.79 (2.11 to 6.83)

68

3.26 (1.87 to 5.71)

94

2.24 (1.25 to 4.01)

78

4.61 (2.67 to 7.95)

 5

277

6.74 (4.57 to 9.92)

237

5.72 (3.16 to 10.33)

40

5.21 (2.85 to 9.50)

121

2.87 (1.55 to 5.30)

156

8.30 (4.81 to 14.31)

SWHS (n = 73,203)

 1

185

1.00 (reference)

--

--

--

--

29

1.00 (reference)

156

1.00 (reference)

 2

237

1.36 (1.10 to 1.68)

--

--

--

--

145

1.00 (0.67 to 1.49)

92

1.38 (1.06 to 1.81)

 3

274

1.62 (1.31 to 2.02)

--

--

--

--

181

1.11 (0.75 to 1.65)

93

1.87 (1.42 to 2.46)

 4

308

1.89 (1.53 to 2.35)

--

--

--

--

182

1.32 (0.89 to 1.97)

126

2.07 (1.58 to 2.70)

 5

405

2.55 (2.06 to 3.16)

--

--

--

--

151

1.61 (1.06 to 2.43)

254

3.00 (2.34 to 3.84)

  1. Abbreviations: RR relative risk, CI confidence interval, -- not applicable
  2. Cox model was stratified by age in a 5-year interval in SWHS and additionally stratified by 10 study sites in CKB
  3. a1 refers to the lowest risk group, and 5 refers to the highest risk group