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Table 4 Mean squared error (×100) in analysis sample C (women with density measured at 1 year and 2 years) {relative performance (95% CI)} for predicting density change at 2 years, using mean density change at year 1 (REF = reference predictor) or individual observed density change at year 1

From: Mammographic density change in a cohort of premenopausal women receiving tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention over 5 years

 

Stratus %

Densitas %

Volpara %

NNVAS %

Mean change T0–T1

6.0 {REF}

21.4 {REF}

4.2 {REF}

12.0 {REF}

Individual change T0–T1

14.5 {2.4 (1.6 to 3.3)}

65.9 {3.1 (1.8 to 3.9)}

10.0 {2.4 (1.8 to 3.0)}

19.7 {1.6 (1.3 to 2.3)}

  1. T0 entry, T1 follow-up at 1 year