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Table 2 Clinical utility of the 10-year contralateral breast cancer risk prediction model. At the same probability threshold, the net benefit is exemplified in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers (for avoiding unnecessary CPM) and non-carriers (performing necessary CPM)

From: Prediction and clinical utility of a contralateral breast cancer risk model

Probability threshold, pt (%)

Unnecessary CPMs needed to prevent one CBC*

BRCA1/2 mutation carriers

Non-carriers

Net benefit versus treat all patients with CPM (per 1000)

Avoided unnecessary CPMs per 1000 patients

Net benefit versus treat none (per 1000)

Performed necessary CPMs per 1000 patients

4

24.0

0.0

0.0

3.9

93.6

5

19.0

0.0

0.0

2.1

39.9

6

15.7

0.1

1.6

0.5

7.8

7

13.3

1.9

25.2

0.1

1.3

8

11.5

5.5

63.3

0.0

0.0

9

10.1

10.7

108.2

0.0

0.0

10

9.0

17.9

161.1

0.0

0.0

  1. CPM contralateral preventive mastectomy, CBC contralateral breast cancer. *The number of unnecessary contralateral mastectomies needed to prevent a CBC is calculated by (1 − pt)/pt. See also Additional file 3: Methods