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Table 1 Postulated incidence of breast cancer by individual year of age in the absence of screening

From: Overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening: the importance of length of observation period and lead time

Age, years

Population

Incidence, per 100,000

Number of cases

50

253,157

158.4

401

51

252,774

162.2

410

52

253,012

166.0

420

53

253,239

169.8

430

54

253,026

173.5

439

55

262,267

177.3

465

56

261,879

181.0

474

57

261,905

184.8

484

58

261,780

191.0

500

59

262,170

197.2

517

60

275,947

203.3

561

61

275,895

209.5

578

62

275,846

215.7

595

63

276,020

218.1

602

64

276,191

220.5

609

65

231,943

222.9

517

66

232,135

225.3

523

67

231,884

227.7

528

68

232,059

232.7

540

69

231,805

237.7

551

70

231,974

242.7

563

71

232,136

247.7

575

72

231,896

252.7

586

73

232,003

255.6

593

74

231,811

258.4

599

75

189,820

261.3

496

76

190,080

264.1

502

77

189,888

267.0

507

78

190,070

269.9

513

79

189,952

272.7

518