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Table 3 Non-progressive breast carcinomas, with follow-up until 85 years of age

From: Non-progressive breast carcinomas detected at mammography screening: a population study

Model

Proportion non-progressive carcinomas of screening-detected cases

Probability of a non-progressive carcinoma after 10 screening rounds

Number of women screened for 10 rounds per screening-detected non-progressive carcinoma

AICa

Main estimate

15·7% (3.3,27.1)

0·8% (0.2,1.4)

123 (69,491)

72,843

Sensitivity analysis: (modifications of applied model)

    

Without age-screening interaction

9·4% (− 2.8,20.9)

0·5% (− 0.1,1.1)

209 (− 1162,1805)

72,849

Without hormones

16·5% (4.8,27.5)

0·8% (0.2, 1.3)

130 (76,429)

72,933

Without period component

15·9% (4.4,27.1)

0·8% (0.2,1.4)

122 (71,411)

72,846

  1. aLower AIC indicates a better model fit