Table 4 Model calibration of breast cancer-specific mortality regressed on prognostic variables in SEER data
From: Development of a prediction model for breast cancer based on the national cancer registry in Taiwan
Breast cancer-specific survival | Overall survival | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Calibration year | Observed | Predicted | P value | Observed | Predicted | P value |
Training data | ||||||
1 | 51 | 52.64 | 0.821 | 83 | 83.87 | 0.924 |
2 | 229 | 236.75 | 0.615 | 316 | 317.83 | 0.918 |
3 | 363 | 373.45 | 0.589 | 481 | 475.71 | 0.808 |
4 | 425 | 422.94 | 0.920 | 569 | 544.60 | 0.296 |
5 | 348 | 350.04 | 0.913 | 466 | 456.30 | 0.650 |
6 | 220 | 215.38 | 0.753 | 290 | 275.41 | 0.379 |
Testing data | ||||||
1 | 33 | 25.28 | 0.125 | 47 | 41.21 | 0.367 |
2 | 109 | 114.89 | 0.583 | 142 | 157.12 | 0.228 |
3 | 177 | 182.81 | 0.668 | 237 | 237.48 | 0.975 |
4 | 202 | 206.35 | 0.762 | 266 | 270.31 | 0.793 |
5 | 176 | 172.28 | 0.777 | 227 | 226.75 | 0.987 |
6 | 96 | 104.32 | 0.416 | 129 | 133.50 | 0.697 |
White | ||||||
1 | 236 | 132.35 | < 0.001 | 416 | 245.11 | < 0.001 |
2 | 472 | 432.07 | 0.055 | 805 | 666.75 | < 0.001 |
3 | 554 | 570.83 | 0.481 | 905 | 834.99 | 0.015 |
4 | 378 | 426.84 | 0.018 | 617 | 628.31 | 0.652 |
5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
6 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Black | ||||||
1 | 47 | 29.32 | 0.001 | 87 | 43.98 | < 0.001 |
2 | 132 | 90.05 | < 0.001 | 194 | 115.66 | < 0.001 |
3 | 138 | 115.04 | 0.032 | 195 | 141.00 | < 0.001 |
4 | 99 | 86.07 | 0.164 | 146 | 106.57 | < 0.001 |
5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
6 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Asian | ||||||
1 | 10 | 7.57 | 0.377 | 23 | 13.93 | 0.015 |
2 | 22 | 24.51 | 0.612 | 43 | 38.03 | 0.421 |
3 | 21 | 29.84 | 0.106 | 43 | 44.16 | 0.862 |
4 | 17 | 23.31 | 0.191 | 29 | 33.42 | 0.445 |
5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
6 | – | – | – | – | – | – |