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Table 5 Statistical analysis for all and distant recurrences in the TransATAC validation cohort

From: Novel 18-gene signature for predicting relapse in ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer

Score

Univariate

Multivariable comparisons

CTS + signature vs CTS

CTS + signature

LRχ2

p Value

HR (95% CI)

C-index (SE)

∆LRχ2

p Value

HR (95% CI)

C-index (SE)

All recurrences (n = 271, AR = 55)

 CTS

37.4

< 0.001

1.94 (1.57–2.40)

0.664 (0.020)

–

–

–

–

 10-Year signature

20.7

< 0.001

1.85 (1.42–2.41)

0.657 (0.029)

5.7

0.017

1.42 (1.07–1.89)

0.695 (0.023)

 BCI

25.0

< 0.001

2.07 (1.54–2.77)

0.679 (0.029)

9.5

0.002

1.62 (1.19–2.21)

0.711 (0.024)

 RS

11.1

< 0.001

1.52 (1.21–1.91)

0.607 (0.027)

5.8

0.016

1.35 (1.07–1.71)

0.683 (0.021)

 ROR

18.3

< 0.001

1.77 (1.36–2.31)

0.650 (0.030)

6.0

0.014

1.42 (1.07–1.87)

0.700 (0.024)

 IHC4

14.4

< 0.001

1.63 (1.28–2.10)

0.629 (0.029)

7.5

0.006

1.46 (1.12–1.91)

0.696 (0.023)

Distant recurrences (n = 271, DR = 41)

 CTS

46.7

< 0.001

2.25 (1.79–2.82)

0.689 (0.019)

–

–

–

–

 10-Year signature

26.4

< 0.001

2.24 (1.64–3.06)

0.694 (0.029)

8.5

0.004

1.65 (1.18–2.30)

0.733 (0.023)

 BCI

34.0

< 0.001

2.71 (1.91–3.84)

0.726 (0.028)

14.5

< 0.001

2.03 (1.40–2.95)

0.754 (0.023)

 RS

10.7

< 0.001

1.58 (1.23–2.03)

0.616 (0.029)

5.1

0.024

1.38 (1.06–1.79)

0.707 (0.020)

 ROR

21.3

< 0.001

2.05 (1.50–2.79)

0.680 (0.031)

7.5

0.006

1.58 (1.14–2.21)

0.736 (0.024)

 IHC4

17.9

< 0.001

1.87 (1.41–2.49)

0.658 (0.031)

9.8

0.002

1.68 (1.22–2.31)

0.731 (0.023)

  1. Abbreviations: AR All recurrences, DR Distant recurrences, CTS Clinical Treatment Score, BCI Breast Cancer Index, RS Recurrence score, ROR Risk of recurrence, LR Likelihood ratio
  2. Both univariate and multivariable analyses are presented. For each score, HRs per SD change are presented. Likelihood ratio test based on Cox proportional hazards models for univariate and multivariable analyses. Differences in likelihood ratio values (ΔLRχ2) were used. CTS was used as a covariate in the multivariable regressions