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Table 2. Expected cases of breast and ovarian cancer in the IBCCS cohort as a function of the proportion of unaffected subjects, prophylactic surgery rates and length of follow-up. A cohort of 2000 women is assumed.

From: The International BRCA1 /2Carrier Cohort Study: Purpose, Rationale, and Study Design

Aff:Unaff

%Mastectomy

%Oophorectomy

Expected Breast Cancers

Expected Ovarian Cancers

   

5 yrs

10 yrs

5 yrs

10 yrs

2:1

10

30

55

104

14

29

1:1

10

30

75

143

17

35

1:2

10

30

96

181

20

41

2:1

30

50

44

82

10

20

1:1

30

50

60

112

12

24

1:2

30

50

76

142

14

28

2:1

50

70

32

61

6

12

1:1

50

70

43

82

7

15

1:2

50

70

54

103

9

17