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Table 1 Annual percent changes in breast cancer incidence and mortality rates in non-Hispanic white women, 1988–2004.

From: Recent changes in breast cancer incidence and risk factor prevalence in San Francisco Bay area and California women: 1988 to 2004

  San Francisco Bay area
Annual percent change (95% CI)
The rest of California
Annual percent change (95% CI)
Mortality rate 1988–2004: -2.20 (-2.57, -1.84) 1988–2004: -2.18 (-2.51, -1.84)
In situ incidence rate 1988–1998: +4.82 (3.82, 6.15)
1998–2004: -1.31 (-3.96, 1.41)
1988–2004: +3.94 (3.22, 4.66)
Invasive incidence rate 1988–1999: +1.32 (0.68, 1.97)
1999–2004: -3.61 (-5.61, -1.57)
1988–2001: +0.75 (0.42, 1.08)
2001–2004: -4.38 (-7.29, -1.38)
   Histologic subtype   
Ductal 1988–1993: -1.59 (-3.04, -0.12)
1993–1997: +4.71 (1.29, 8.24)
1997–2004: -3.29 (-4.15, -2.43)
1988–1994: -0.58 (-1.72, 0.59)
1994–1999: +1.78 (-0.41, 4.02)
1999–2004: -3.51 (-4.98, -2.02)
With lobular component 1988–1999: +5.74 (4.54, 6.95)
1999–2004: -2.26 (-5.89, 1.51)
1988–2001: +5.75 (5.30, 6.19)
2001–2004: -5.30 (-9.03, -1.42)
   Age at diagnosis (years)   
<40 1988–2004: +0.08 (-0.64, 0.79) 1988–2004: +0.28 (-0.25, 0.81)
40–69 1988–1999: +1.62 (0.81, 2.44)
1999–2004: -4.29 (-6.79, -1.71)
1988–2001: +0.91 (0.59, 1.23)
2001–2004: -4.14 (-7.00, -1.19)
≥70 1988–2002: +0.54 (0.04, 1.04)
2002–2004: -9.22 (-18.41, 1.02)
1988–2000: +0.68 (0.14, 1.22)
2000–2004: -4.21 (-6.93, -1.42)
   ER statusa   
ER+ 1992–1996: +6.85 (3.00, 10.84)
1996–2002: +0.23 (-2.34, 2.87)
2002–2004: -10.36 (-20.18, 0.67)
1992–2001: +4.53 (3.71, 5.36)
2001–2004: -7.27 (-11.18, -3.20)
ER- 1992–2004: -2.11 (-2.86, -1.35) 1992–2004: -0.56 (-1.32, 0.21)
Missing 1992–2004: -4.15 (-5.74, -2.53) 1992–2004: -4.86 (-6.40, -3.29)
   Stage at diagnosis   
Localized 1988–1998: +2.35 (1.60, 3.10)
1998–2004: -3.27 (-4.80, -1.72)
1988–2000: +1.36 (0.97, 1.75)
2000–2004: -3.71 (-5.67, -1.71)
Regional 1988–1993: -2.26 (-5.31, 0.89)
1993–2001: +1.96 (0.05, 3.91)
2001–2004: -7.13 (-13.48, -0.31)
1988–1996: -1.10 (-2.05, -0.14)
1996–2001: +4.06 (1.20, 7.01)
2001–2004: -6.34 (-10.38, -2.11)
Distant 1988–2004: -1.04 (-2.24, 0.17) 1988–2004: -1.17 (-1.65, -0.68)
Unstaged/Not available 1988–2004: -7.44 (-10.33, -4.46) 1988–2002: -4.24 (-5.52, -2.95)
2002–2004: -31.80 (-48.75, -9.25)
   Tumor size   
<2 cm 1988–1999: +3.29 (2.60,3.99)
1999–2004: -3.70 (-5.82, -1.54)
1988–2001: +2.93 (2.46, 3.41)
2001–2004: -5.88 (-9.91, -1.66)
≥2 cm 1988–1993: -1.40 (-3.51, 0.75)
1993–1998: +3.10 (0.00, 6.30)
1998–2004: -4.12 (-5.67, -2.54)
1988–1992: -2.39 (-4.59, -0.15)
1992–2001: +0.38 (-0.41, 1.17)
2001–2004: -2.91 (-6.33, 0.65)
Unknown 1988–2004: -7.28 (-8.41, -6.13) 1988–2004: -6.45 (-8.34, -4.52)
  1. aAnnual percent change calculated for the period 1992–2004. CI, confidence interval; ER, estrogen receptor. Data from the California Cancer Registry.